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Both Teams to Score — Prediction Accuracy

BTTS asks one question: did both sides score? Here is how often our model called it right, against how often it happened.

Both Teams to Score — the record

Hit rate
53.3%
Coin-flip baseline
53.2%
Landed
360
Missed
315

Level with the baseline 53.3% against a 53.2% baseline, over n = 675 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 0.1 points above the baseline.

The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 53.2% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 53.2% and always saying "no" 46.8%. The higher of those is the bar.

0255075100Jul 26: 19 of 41 (46.3%)JulAug 26: 238 of 436 (54.6%)AugSep 26: 103 of 198 (52.0%)Sepcoin-flip baseline 53%
Month by month, last 3 months with at least 5 settled tips. Grey bars are months below the baseline — they stay on the record.

Both Teams to Score by league

Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.

Showing 14 leagues with 30+ settled matches.

  • Ukrainian Premier League70%+16.6pt
  • Club Friendlies 167%+14.2pt
  • English Premier League61%+7.3pt
  • New South Wales56%+2.6pt
  • Champions League54%+1.1pt
  • South Africa Premier League54%+1.0pt
  • Liga MX52%-1.3pt
  • Npl Victoria52%-1.6pt
  • Switzerland Super League50%-3.2pt
  • Admiral Bundesliga50%-3.2pt
  • Romania Liga 149%-4.0pt
  • La Liga49%-4.1pt
  • K League 147%-6.0pt
  • Allsvenskan43%-10.3pt

The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.

How this is measured

  • Every BTTS tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
  • The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 53.2% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 53.2% and always saying "no" 46.8%. The higher of those is the bar.
  • Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
  • Current verdict: Level with the baseline, on 675 settled tips.

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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.

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