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Win Either Way (12) — Prediction Accuracy

12 wins if either side wins — it only loses on a draw. Because it covers two results out of three, the bar it has to clear is high.

Win Either Way (12) — the record

Hit rate
71.7%
Coin-flip baseline
66.7%
Landed
195
Missed
77

Slightly ahead of the baseline 71.7% against a 66.7% baseline, over n = 272 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 5.0 points above the baseline.

Recent form (last 90 days): 69.9%on n = 93 below the headline figure.

This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.

0255075100Oct 25: 7 of 8 (87.5%)OctNov 25: 7 of 8 (87.5%)NovJan 26: 15 of 20 (75.0%)JanFeb 26: 27 of 34 (79.4%)FebMar 26: 28 of 40 (70.0%)MarApr 26: 23 of 37 (62.2%)AprMay 26: 18 of 26 (69.2%)MayJul 26: 9 of 9 (100.0%)JulAug 26: 33 of 53 (62.3%)AugSep 26: 23 of 31 (74.2%)Sepcoin-flip baseline 67%
Month by month, last 10 months with at least 5 settled tips. Grey bars are months below the baseline — they stay on the record.

Win Either Way (12) by league

Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.

Showing 3 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 31 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.

  • 3. Liga77%+10.0pt
  • Admiral Bundesliga74%+6.8pt
  • Enterprise National League73%+6.6pt

The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.

How this is measured

  • Every win either way tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
  • This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.
  • Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
  • Current verdict: Slightly ahead of the baseline, on 272 settled tips.

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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.

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