Away Win — Prediction Accuracy
An away win tip backs one result out of three. Here is how often ours landed, measured against what guessing would have achieved.
Away Win — the record
Ahead of the baseline — 48.8% against a 33.3% baseline, over n = 968 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 15.5 points above the baseline.
Recent form (last 90 days): 57.8%on n = 154 — in line with or better than the headline figure.
Picking one of three results at random lands about 33% of the time, so that is the bar this has to clear.
Away Win by league
Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.
Showing 6 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 60 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.
- Liga Portugal73%+40.0ptn=60
- La Liga46%+13.0ptn=41
- Enterprise National League42%+8.6ptn=31
- Champions League40%+6.7ptn=35
- English League 135%+1.8ptn=37
- English League 229%-4.3ptn=31
The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.
How this is measured
- Every away win tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
- Picking one of three results at random lands about 33% of the time, so that is the bar this has to clear.
- Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
- Current verdict: Ahead of the baseline, on 968 settled tips.
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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
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