Win Probability
Home Win %11.1%
Draw %28.9%
Away Win %60.0%
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Aston Villa1.36
Manchester City1.79
Total expected goals
3.15
Slight edgeHigh-scoring
Correct Score Prediction
12% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Manchester City are favourites at 60%.
Our AI model favours Manchester City.
Play X2 for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
Manchester City should win this with 60.04% chance
Form & Stats
Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches
W
3-1W
1-0W
6-0D
2-2W
3-21.9
Goals/Game
1.4
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS Rate
vs Viking
3-1W
vs Newcastle United
0-1W
vs Fenerbahçe
6-0W
vs Brentford
2-2D
vs Tottenham Hotspur
2-3W
Manchester City — Last 10 Matches
W
5-1W
3-2L
2-4W
3-0W
5-32.8
Goals/Game
1.2
Conceded/Game
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs AEK Athens
5-1W
vs Ipswich Town
3-2W
vs Paris Saint Germain
2-4L
vs Liverpool
0-3W
vs Sunderland
5-3W
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw39%
Away Win50%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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